Green Plains Renewable Stock Analysis

GPRE Stock  USD 15.50  0.77  5.23%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Green Plains Renewable extending back to March 15, 2006. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Green Plains stands at 15.50, as last reported on the 11th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 15.61 and the lowest price hitting 14.78 during the day.
IPO Date
15th of March 2006
200 Day MA
8.6336
50 Day MA
10.813
Beta
1.511
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Green Plains Renewable holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.898. At present, Green Plains' Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Long Term Debt is expected to grow to about 449.5 M, whereas Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 369 M. Green Plains' financial risk is the risk to Green Plains stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Green Plains' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Green Plains' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Green Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Green Plains' stakeholders.
For many companies, including Green Plains, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Green Plains Renewable, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Green Plains' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.4127
Enterprise Value Ebitda
43.3532
Price Sales
0.5175
Shares Float
67.3 M
Wall Street Target Price
13.8889
At present, Green Plains' Common Stock is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. . At present, Green Plains' Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 9.43, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.82.
Green Plains Renewable is overvalued with Real Value of 13.84 and Target Price of 13.89. The main objective of Green Plains stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Green Plains Renewable is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Green Plains' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Green Plains stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Green Plains' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Plains Renewable. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Green Stock Analysis Notes

About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.41. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Green Plains Renewable recorded a loss per share of 1.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2019. Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. Green Plains Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. Green Plains operates under Chemicals classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 859 people. To learn more about Green Plains Renewable call Todd Becker at 402 884 8700 or check out https://www.gpreinc.com.

Green Plains Quarterly Total Revenue

428.85 Million

Green Plains Renewable Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Green Plains' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Green Plains Renewable or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Green Plains appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.09 B. Net Loss for the year was (121 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 136.93 M.
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Why Green Plains Is Up 19.6 percent After Returning To Profit On Lower Sales - And Whats Next

Green Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Plains' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2006-10-16
2006-09-30-0.02-0.010.0150 
2013-07-30
2013-06-300.170.190.0211 
2024-02-07
2023-12-310.150.12-0.0320 
View All Earnings Estimates

Green Plains Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Green Plains' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Green Plains' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Green Plains' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Green Plains' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Green Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2025-06-30
1.4 M
State Street Corp2025-06-30
1.4 M
Centerbook Partners Lp2025-06-30
1.2 M
Two Sigma Investments Llc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-06-30
1.1 M
Wolf Hill Capital Management, Lp2025-06-30
1.1 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-06-30
M
Barclays Plc2025-06-30
M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
6.3 M
Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo & Co., Llc2025-06-30
4.5 M
Note, although Green Plains' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Green Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.08 B.

Green Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.06) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.01) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.08)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Assets(0.08)(0.07)
Return On Equity(0.16)(0.15)

Management Efficiency

Green Plains Renewable has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0302) % which means that it has lost $0.0302 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.147) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Green Plains' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Green Plains manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current year's Return On Tangible Assets is expected to grow to -0.07. The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to -0.06. At present, Green Plains' Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Total Current Assets is expected to grow to about 695.5 M, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 29.9 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.44  14.66 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 11.44  13.85 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 31.56  33.14 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.86  0.82 
Enterprise Value Multiple 31.56  33.14 
Price Fair Value 0.86  0.82 
The strategic initiatives led by Green Plains' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.01)
Profit Margin
(0.06)
Beta
1.511
Return On Assets
(0.03)
Return On Equity
(0.15)

Technical Drivers

As of the 11th of February 2026, Green Plains retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1939, market risk adjusted performance of 0.8363, and Downside Deviation of 2.77. Green Plains technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please check out Green Plains Renewable treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Green Plains is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 15.5 per share. Given that Green Plains Renewable has jensen alpha of 0.6818, we strongly advise you to confirm Green Plains Renewable's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Green Plains Renewable Price Movement Analysis

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Green Plains Renewable Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Plains insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Plains' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Plains insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Green Plains Outstanding Bonds

Green Plains issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Green Plains Renewable uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Plains Renewable has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Green Plains Predictive Daily Indicators

Green Plains intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Plains stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Green Plains Corporate Filings

13A
10th of February 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
6th of February 2026
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
5th of February 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
23rd of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
13th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
9th of January 2026
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
8th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Green Plains Forecast Models

Green Plains' time-series forecasting models are one of many Green Plains' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Green Plains' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Green Plains Bond Ratings

Green Plains Renewable financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Green Plains have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Green Plains' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(3.69)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Green Plains Renewable Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as Green Plains, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
Green Plains Renewable currently holds 508.35 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.9, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Green Plains Renewable has a current ratio of 1.75, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about Green Plains' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

Green Plains Common Stock Shares Outstanding Over Time

Green Plains Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Green Plains uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Green Plains Debt Ratio

    
  27.0   
It looks as if most of the Green Plains' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Green Plains' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Green Plains, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Green Plains Corporate Bonds Issued

Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Plains Renewable has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Green Net Debt

Net Debt

339.25 Million

At present, Green Plains' Net Debt is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About Green Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Green Plains prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Green Plains. By using and applying Green Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Green entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.08)
Operating Profit Margin(0.04)(0.04)
Net Loss(0.06)(0.06)
Gross Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 

Current Green Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Green analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Green analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
13.89Buy8Odds
Green Plains Renewable current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Green analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Green stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Green Plains Renewable, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Green conference calls.
Green Analyst Advice Details

Green Stock Analysis Indicators

Green Plains Renewable stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Green Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Green Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Plains stock analysis, traders can identify Green Plains position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow209.4 M
Long Term Debt362 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity766.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities162.1 M
Tax Provision-51.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.755
Property Plant And Equipment NetB
Cash And Short Term Investments182.3 M
Cash182.3 M
Accounts Payable134.9 M
Net Debt326 M
50 Day M A10.813
Total Current Liabilities268.7 M
Other Operating Expenses2.2 B
Non Current Assets Total1.1 B
Forward Price Earnings36.9004
Non Currrent Assets Other41.2 M
Stock Based Compensation17.1 M

Complementary Tools for Green Stock analysis

When running Green Plains' price analysis, check to measure Green Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Green Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Green Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Green Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Green Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Green Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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